Friday, August 08, 2014

ISIS suprises US Pundits

Note: as for my current physical fitness, I've been doing six-mile walks in less than 120 minutes.

There has been alot of attention paid to the new ISIS group that has achieved 'spectacular' successes against the Iraqi Government Army summer of 2014. The successes of ISIS have come as a big surprise to the pundits.

Ya well, 'pundits' are hindus, what we are talking about here is Muslims.

Iraq which the US took from Sunni Hussein and then left to Shia Al-Maliki, is 63% Shia. Neighboring Syria where the US opposes the Shia Assad government however is only 15% Shia.

Following a lines drawn in the sands mentality, The US has sided with the Sunnis in Sunni-majority Shia-ruled  Syria, and the Shia majority in Shia-majority once-Sunni-ruled Iraq. 

The borders drawn in the sand are what we seen on a map, but the more powerful natural borders in the Iraq/Syria area, are the borders between Shia and Sunni.

Counting Syria and Iraq together as one entity,  only 43% of the total 37 million population is Shia;  and on top of this, you have all the foreign fighters and support ISIS draws from a Muslim world that is 90% Sunni.

Sunnis comprise 90% of the 1.4 billion Muslims in the world; Shias only 8%. Time after time during the course of the past 100 years, Sunni Muslims have shown themselves to be great fighters (Indians Pakistanis, Bangladeshis in World Wars One and Two for example). 

The US fighting against the previously Sunni government of Iraq, far outweighs what little it has done against the Shia government of Syria.  

Yet somehow it has come as a big surprise to the brilliant pundits in Washington DC, that ISIS has enjoyed such great successes.

Naturally the Sunni resistance against the US attack on what was once a Sunni government of Iraq (Saddam Hussein), has produced a highly competent band of Sunni militants, ISIS. 

The US seems to have failed to consider that perhaps: the Shia minority in Syria are more militarily competent compared to the Syrian Sunni majority; the Sunni-minority in Iraq are more militarily competent compared to the Iraqi Shia majority.

Then again, sometimes positive results are obtained luckily and accidentally by way of bumbling and fumbling; perhaps the (again surprising to pundits) new camaraderie between Shia Iran and the Christian US will make the world a better place.

As for the attacks upon Christians and Shias perpetrated by ISIS, conceivably they are forgivable, given that: aside from a little token help for the enemies of Assad's Shia government, Christian US involvement in the middle east has resembled a crusade against the Sunnis; the Sunnis are the majority looking at Iraq and Syria combined; the Shias of Iraq are seen as the political offspring of the US occupation.

Blaming the Iraqi Christians for whatever sins have been committed by the allegedly Christian US, is suspect for several reasons: a persons should not be held responsible for the sins of a co-religionist; every faith contains persons of varying levels of morality; the fact the US is majority 'Christian' does not mean it is controlled by Christians; a person can claim to belong to some faith while internally not believing in it and not abiding by it.

In My Humble Opinion (IMHO) as of now:

Muslims do not have a right to place a tax on Christians in regions Muslims control, which is not also paid by Christians. Such constitutes bullying of the type that is not practiced in Christian-controlled regions against Muslims.

The Koran, which was created 1200 years ago, has roots in the Old Testament of ancient Israel of 4000 years ago, and also in the New Testament of Christ of 2000 years ago.

Muslim belief re Christ springs from that time in Christ's life, when Christ admonished his disciples that they should tell no man that he was the Christ, the Son of the Living God. Christian belief re Christ springs from the later time when Christ allowed his disciples to publicize the fact that he was indeed Christ the Son of God, and also One with God, because there is only one God.

Who knows, how much of the wisdom found in the Koran, is rooted in what Muhammad and his colleagues heard from Christian preachers?

Jews did not seek converts. For 700 years after Christ until Muhammad, the Christian preachers were the only ones preaching the One and Only Supreme God to the pagan Arabs. According to correct interpretation of Muslim doctrine, the Christian preachers who preached to the Arabs of the time between Christ and Muhammad, must have saved many Arab souls from the eternal hell-fire.

Conflating the Koran with God is what in the Islamic world is called 'Shirk', because the Koran contains only some of God's thoughts words and actions.

There are and always have been: evil phonies pretending to be Christian; Christians pretending they are not Christians; Muslims proclaiming that they are not Muslim, non-Muslims pretending to be Muslim.

The fact a Muslim commits a crime against a Christian, does not give Christians the right to retaliate against a Muslim who was not involved in the crime.

Likewise, the fact a Christian commits a crime against a Muslim, does not give Muslims the right to retaliate against a Christian who was not involved in the crime.

The fact a Muslim is imperfect in terms of his thoughts words and actions, does not give Christians the right to oppress the imperfect Muslim.

Likewise, the fact a Christian is imperect in terms of thoughts words and actions does not give Muslims the right to oppress the imperfect Christian.

Regarding music, music is an art-form, that allows man to express his artistic bent, without violating the Scriptural prohibitions against the making of images of things found in the world. The courts of King Solomon and King David featured instrumental and vocal music; their scriptures extolled the use of music as a way to commune with God. Coming after them, Christ and his disciples sang songs together. Christ scolded those who lusted with their eyes, Muslims endorse or demand that women hide their beauty under clothes; but music allows one pleasure without violating the prohibitions against visual lust.

I see it as a form of 'shirk' (Muslim term for conflating that which is not God with God), when persons have such a high opinion of themselves that they persecute religious practices that according to God's Will, should be tolerated. This because the 'Shirker', arrogantly and mistakenly considers his will and his opinion regarding Scripture and the Will of God, to correspond with or to transcend in importance the Will of God. And because the 'Shirker' treats the men who were involved with the production of the Koran, as being gods, when in fact they were humans far beneath God.

I've heard that Muslims believe that all things that happen on earth are the Will of God. Not so Christians. Christians pray that God's Will be done on earth as it is in heaven. They recognize that God's Will is not always done on earth. The fact that God allows something to happen does not mean that what he allowed to happen was His will regarding what is done on earth. God allows things that are not his will to be done on earth because he is a God who hides Himself.

The fact that some Muslim attacks an innocent Christian and kills him, does not in and of itself prove that it was God's Will that the Christian be killed by the Muslim.

Christians were persecuted by Paul before Paul became a Christian. There were at most three days between Paul repenting of persecuting Christians and Paul receiving the Holy Spirit. Christians did not punish Paul or ostracize Paul for having persecuted them. This was because when Paul persecuted the Christians, he did it in good conscience, he believed that the Christians should be persecute.

Hence we have the idea of 'freedom of conscience'. A persecutor Akbar might truly believe that he should persecute Jahangir because of Jahangir's heretical religion. But Akbar might despite being in good conscience, be incorrect to persecute Jahangir. Therefore laws prohibit Akbar from persecuting Jahangir on the basis of religion. Could be that Jahangir is following his conscience despite being incorrect, in which case Jahangir, despite being incorrect, would possess the dignity of conscience, a dignity laws guard against defilement.

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Notes (condensations of articles found on internet):
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Two battalions of Iran’s (93% Shia) Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) are reported to be operating in Iraq (63% Shia) to combat...(ISIS) attacks against the Iraqi government. In late June 2014,...ISIS changed its name to the Islamic State and said it would rule...as a Sunni Muslim caliphate overseen by...Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. The Islamic State, an al-Qaeda offshoot, has seized... northern Iraq since June 2014.

...August 3 2014... death of IRGC Colonel Kamal Shirkhani, who was killed in a mortar attack by Islamic State militants... in the city of Samarra, Iraq.

“When the Islamic State reached Shi’ite areas in Iraq, the Revolutionary Guards had forces there who fought them...A number of them were killed,” 

...Iraqi security forces have “largely dissolved” as fighters against the Islamic State advance on Baghdad...

...Iran has now mobilized up to 20,000 Iraqi militiamen from groups it funded and trained. Those same militiamen had attacked U.S. troops ...

June 11 2014...during the battle at Mosul...Iraqi security forces outnumbered ISIS fighters by ...15 to one...government troops suffered...“a dramatic collapse of morale.”

...Iraqi Prime Minister...al-Maliki on June 11 2014...said, “The commanders who retreated and wavered must be punished.”

After...ISIS seized...Mosul...150,000...fled...ISIS...issued an edict expelling...Christians who...ISIS...destroyed Christian and Jewish religious artifacts...

David Curry, president/CEO of Open Doors USA:...

According to Open Doors, the Islamic State gave Christians an ultimatum...July 19-20 (2014): 1) Stay....convert to Islam; 2) Pay Islamic tax (...too much for most families...); 3) Leave Mosul taking nothing but their clothes. Christians who stayed would be executed.

...July 14 2014...Iraqi army... desertions in June 2014 during...fall of Mosul ... government has relied heavily on Shiite militias and volunteers ...

Saddam Hussein, King Abdullah II of Jordan, and Egypt’s Anwar El Sadat. All of these rulers were tolerant toward Christians and other religious minorities living in their countries....anti-Western revolutionaries who took...Iran in 1979 established ... Shia ... government intolerant of...religious nonconformity.

...ISIS is allied with rebels fighting Assad in Syria  who have received U.S. support...

Senator ...Paul (R-Ky.)...aware of...connection between...anti-Assad rebels and...ISIS...May 21, 2013...“...You will be funding...allies of al-Qaeda.”


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BEIRUT—...U.S.-led invasion of Iraq in 2003.

...Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham, an offshoot of al Qaeda, rapidly gaining territory...

Iran has invested...resources over the past decade to ensure Iraq emerged... a strong Shiite-led state. The so-called Shiite crescent—stretching from Iran (93% SHIA) to Iraq (63% SHIA), Lebanon (41% SHIA) and Syria (15% SHIA) —was forged ...

Two Guards' units...were tasked with protecting Baghdad...

Iraq's military was trained and equipped by the U.S...in several cities...Iraqi soldiers surrendered without a fight....

...U.S. opposes Iran's support for Syrian (15% SHIA) President Bashar al-Assad...

...Assad regime...is an offshoot of Shiite Islam. Shiite militia trained by Iran, weapons and cash ...flow from Iran to Syria via Iraq.

...ISIS,...urged the group's Sunni fighters to march toward..."filth-ridden" Karbala and "... city of polytheism" Najaf,... "settle...differences" with Iraq's Shiite PM al-Maliki.

Iran's view:...sectarian battle between...Islam-Sunni and Shiite...proxy battle between...Saudi Arabia (3% SHIA) and Iran (93% SHIA).

"...Islamic Republic of Iran, won't tolerate...violence and terrorism…. We will fight...violence and extremism and terrorism..." 

...short-term,...crisis in Iraq will only strengthen ...Iran ...


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...160 computer flash sticks revealed the inside story of Isis...that came from nowhere with nothing to having Syrian oil fields and control of Iraq's second city...Isis swept through...northern and central Iraq over three stunning days... three divisions of the Iraqi army shed their uniforms and fled.

The capitulation of the military ...allowed Kurdish forces to seize ...Kirkuk...

... "Before Mosul, their total...assets were $875m ...Afterwards, with the money they robbed from banks...military supplies they looted, they...add another $1.5bn..."

ISIS leaders had been meticulously chosen. ...top tier – all battle-hardened veterans of the insurgency against US forces nearly a decade ago ...strategic acumen of Isis was impressive – so too its attention to detail. "They had itemised everything...Down to the smallest detail."

...Isis secured massive cash...from...oilfields of eastern Syria, which it...commandeered in late 2012...some of which it...sold...to the Syrian regime... reaped windfalls from smuggling...raw materials pillaged from the crumbling state...antiquities from archaeological digs.

...in less than three years, Isis had grown from a ragtag band...to...the most...rich and capable terror group in the world.

"...They had done this all themselves. There was no state actor at all behind them, which we had long known. They don't need one."...

Foreign jihadists, many from Europe...stormed into Mosul and have spread through central Iraq...

..."We knew they had infiltrated the ministries..."


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(CNN)...al Baghdadi, who has transformed a few terror cells...into the most dangerous militant group in the world.
The ISIS has thrived...during...civil war in Syria and...security vacuum that followed ... departure of...American forces from Iraq.

...aim of ISIS:...create an Islamic state across Sunni areas of Iraq and in Syria.

...2006, al Qaeda in Iraq -- under...al-Zarqawi -- ...brutal treatment of civilians as it tried to ignite a sectarian war against...Shia....bombing...an important Shia shrine in Samarra, which sparked retaliatory attacks...moderate Sunni tribal leaders nearly destroyed the group.

... Iraqi forces ...lack of professional soldiers...division of military units along sectarian lines...lack of...equipment ...such as attack helicopters and reconnaissance capabilities.

...ISIS exploited...perception among...Sunnis that they were being persecuted by the Shia...government led by ...al-Maliki...arrest of senior Sunni political figures...suppression of Sunni dissent...

...Baghdadi...Ph.D. in Islamic studies from a university in the capital....He formed his...group in...Samarra...Diyala areas, where his family was from, before joining al Qaeda in Iraq....served four years in...U.S. prison camp...developed a network of contacts and honed his  ideology .... released ... 2009 ...

ISIS wants...Islamic...state, stretching across the region.

ISIS...Sharia law in the towns... Boys and girls must be separated at school; women must wear...full veil...brutal justice, music is banned...fast is  enforced during Ramadan.

...al Baghdadi focused on secrecy ...money....Extortion... robbing banks and gold  shops was another.
...suicide attacks...assassinations...recruitment of Sunni tribal fighters... prison raids that liberated hundreds of fighters...attacks on police patrols...large-scale attacks aimed at capturing...territory.

...Al Baghdadi...avoiding the alienation of powerful tribal figures....One of the group ... al-Adnani ... : "...our mistakes, we do not deny...we will continue to make mistakes as long as we are humans. God forbid that we commit mistakes deliberately."...it is trying to win favor through...social welfare programs ...recreational activities for children ... food and fuel to the needy ... clinics.

...Syrian President Bashar al-Assad lost control over large parts of the North and the long border with Iraq...ISIS...could build a rear base where it could recruit foreign fighters, organize and escape from any Iraqi army operations.

Al Baghdadi ... sent operatives across the border as early as ... 2011...group...changed ... name -- adding "al Sham" for Syria.

...For western counterterrorism agencies, the combination of fanaticism and disciplined organization is the nightmare scenario.

 ...ISIS' success against what are seen by ... Sunnis as loathsome Shia regimes in Syria and Iraq has attracted thousands of foreign fighters to its ranks, enabling it to ... prepare ... offensive in Iraq.

...ability to...suicide bombings and attacks on the security forces ... in several regions at once... resilient force...sophisticated attacks. ...  fighters used bulldozers to remove barriers 
...ISIS ...little ability to govern... unpopular, and has no sway outside the Sunni community in either Iraq or Syria."

...weakness of the governments ISIS is  confronting -- and the hatred for those governments among Sunnis -- means that a few dozen truckloads of fighters can seize...cities, overcoming forces many times larger by their sheer ferocity and battle experience.

..."ISIS has become indisputably the most effective and ruthless terrorist organization in the world."

"It...has attracted...fighters, not just from Iraq and Syria, but also from Saudi Arabia...Jordan."


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1483 million Muslims in world. 113 million (7.6%) of these are Shia.

Shia majority nations: Azerbaijan (75%, 5758K Shia) ; Bahrain (61%, 362K Shia); Iran (93%, 61732K Shia) ; Iraq (63%, 20780K Shia); 

Iraq (63% Shia, 13389K Shia, total population 21422K); 
Syria  (15% Shia, 2388K Shia, total population 15609K);  
Iraq & Syria combined: 15777K Shia, total population 37031K; 43% Shia.


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Monday, April 14, 2014

Sports Participation Rates Estimates

Given the amount of time and energy I've been putting into sports, I felt I needed a clear idea regarding what percent of the various age/gender groups in the US population, have a serious interest in the various sports. I wanted to know, what percent of the age/gender group had an interest in at least one of seven sports I've recently been participating in.

I realized, that I had to process the stats which give how many people participate in a sport, to account for the fact that the total of this stat for all the sports, is 4.1 times larger than the population of active-athletes. This because many people participate in more than one sport. The 4.1 figure indicates that on average the physically active participate in 4 different sports. I wanted to process out, if the participant figures for seven different sports add up to 165 million, then what percent of the population is involved in at least one of those sports?

The number of persons at the gym had begun to seem small to me, the people at the gym, had begun to seem suspiciously un-typical. I was wondering: am I being deceived by all the media hoopla about sports?; could it be, that the actual truth, is that there is a small minority of individuals who each engage in lots of sports, thereby making it seem as if sports is more popular than it actually is?; could it be, that most of the people involved in sports are children and that the normal adult ignores sports?

I started out building a table that (as of now) gives the Participation rates in absolute and percent terms, for seven different sports, for several different age/gender groups. This required combining incomplete information available from the National Sporting Goods Association (the leading source of such info), with Census Data and the art of math:

Sports Participation & Fandom Rates for Various age/gender Groups

The next problem, was figuring out what percent of the 'active' persons, are what I would call 'seriously' active in their sport, active enough to take an interest in literature and coaching in the sport.

In the 2013 PAC Overview Report, I noted on page 8, the  '2012 level of activity':

Active to a Healthy Level and Beyond (151+ times/yr) High Calorie Activity: 32.9%.

Active (51~150 times) High Calorie Activity: 11.2%.

Casual (1~50 times) High Calorie Activity 9.3%.

Low to Medium calorie activities: 18.6%.

None 28.0%.

According to the NSGA's definition, someone is active in a sport if he participates in it more than once a year. Based on these above PAC stats, I concluded that 80% of those who the NSGA rates as active in a sport, have a serious interest in the sport.

The next problem, was, how can I estimate the participation rate for an age-group, if the only stats available are the participation rate in the population at large?

In the 2013 PAC Overview Report , I noted on page 7, the  'Inactivity Levels (by age-group)'. On this basis I estimated that:

Given that ps = the percent of the age 6+ population involved in sports, the percent that is involved in sports age 6-17 would be 1.12(ps); the percent age 18-54 involved in sports would be 1.02(ps), the percent age 55-64 involved in sports would be 0.9(ps), and the percent age 65+ involved in exercise/sports would be 0.85(ps).

I decided to apply these statistical adjustments to each sport on a uniform basis, in determining my estimate for the percent of an age/gender group involved in a given sport. So for example, given that the (extrapolated from NSGA data) reported rate of participation for males 6 years old and older in running was 15%, I estimated that the participation rate for males age 6-17 was 1.12(15%)= 16.8% (this aside from the separate issue of 80% of the active being 'seriously active'.

Combining the adjustment for seriousness of activity, the adjustment for age-groups, and the info I had for percent of population 6+ active in a sport, I came up with estimates for what percent of a gender/age-group is seriously active in a sport:

My Estimates (actual data lacking) of Percent of Persons with Serious Participatory Interest in Certain Sports, and in one of a Group of Sports, for Age/Gender Groups, 2012

The final problem of the evening, was: so I know how many people are involved in running, how many are involved in swimming, how many in weightlifting, how many in basketball, how many in soccer, how many in tennis. From this information, how can I estimate, how many are involved in at least one of the seven sports?

I had the following info: the total of the NSGA participation figures (age 7+) for the 7 sports came to 165 million; the total of the participation stats for all the 45 or so sports tabulated by the NSGA came to (age 7+) 823 million; the total of active persons (age 6+) according to the PAC was 199 million; 823/199 = 4.1; a sports participant by definition participates in at least one sport. I came up with the following formula and math:

165.3/823=0.20.

4.1-1.0=3.1.

0.20 x 3.1 = 0.62.

1+0.62 = 1.62.

Hence I concluded that the total of the various number of participants figures for the 7 sports I was focusing on, should be divided by 1.6, to get an estimate of how many different individual persons participated in at least one of the 7 sports (because some participate in more than one sport).

There are various advantages to making estimates: you have something to work with when data is nonexistent or unavailable; you learn how to make estimates in situations where data is nonexistent or unavailable; you have something to work with if you feel like checking the veracity of some statistic.

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Monday, June 28, 2010

World Cup June 27 Observations...American inferiority complex in soccer

Watched the World Cup for a while on Sunday June 27 2010.

First there was the England vs Germany game.

Rooney had an opportunity to cut to his left, instead he passed into the right corner. This may have looked good statistically and not excited the coach's ire, however burying the ball in the right corner makes things difficult for the team as a whole.

Then one of the England forwards, had the ball about ten yards from the Germany goal line. All that was between him and the goal was one German defender and the goalie. The German rushed at the Englander from the Englander's left. The Englander would have had a tremendous position if he had cut the ball to his left, contradicting the rush of the German. Instead he shot the ball into the body of the German defender who had rushed at him from his left.

I concluded that the English have not been practicing cuts to the left followed by: shot with left foot; or, pass with left foot; or, dribble with left foot; or, shot with right foot; or, pass with right foot; or, dribble with right foot.

As a player I spend almost all my time in the air, meaning the ball is off the ground. Thus I am different from your typical player. For me shooting with the right foot after slanting left is often a reasonable and effective alternative. Not sure to what extent a player who plays with the ball on the ground can shoot with the right after slanting with the left. But I thought I'd list the shoot with right after slanting left alternative anyway.

Next there was the Argentina vs Mexico game.

The Argentinians and the Mexicans impressed me with their skill when it come to trapping aerial passes that have been sent to them and that have traveled approx 50 meters, sometimes more, sometimes less.

I have lived in the U.S. since I was 5 years old, hence I am similar to Americans who were born in the U.S.A. I possess the American characteristic which is an inferiority complex when it comes to soccer. Watching the Argentinians and the Mexicans deftly trap the long aerial passes sent to them made me feel depressed and inferior.

Problem with this is that the feelings of inferiority are often delusional.

One of my high points since I began taking a serious interest in the sport of soccer, was the days during which I would do things like throw the ball at the wall, then intercept the rebound before it bounced, take control of the ball, and then commence an air-dribble in a predetermined direction, all without the ball touching the ground.

Note: air dribble for me, means moving horizontally 5 or more meters while keeping the ball close to the body but off the ground ( for me this has meant avoiding use of the head because such is easy, and avoiding use of the thighs because such is easy and slow).

Let's face it, what I did with the rebound off the wall, is harder than what the Americans impressed me with, which is their one touch passing that I earlier concluded they were too preoccupied with.

(Note: In the World Cup action Sunday there was a notable lack of one touch passing, I had said in my blog-post Saturday that the Americans had hurt themselves by overemphasizing one touch passing).

Today at practice a ball came at me, rebounding off the wall after I had shot it at the wall. I trapped it with ease, bringing it to a complete halt under my right foot (I am left footed), with one touch. It had flown at me at a high rate of speed without bouncing after rebounding off the wall about 15 meters away, after I had shot it at the wall. Then I realized that the sense of inferiority that ensued from watching the Argentinians and Mexicans display skill in trapping long aerial passes, was a delusion.

Earlier a few weeks ago I (May 30 entry soccer log) had had a dream in which these Spanish and Black players were air-dribbling the ball with their thighs at a high rate of speed. They would run at a fast speed, with the ball touching their thighs every two or three paces; they seemed to be angels; the ball never touched the ground; I felt as if I would never be able to do what they did.

Then in real waking life I attempted to do what 'the angels' had done in the dream, in the gym at the Waltham Y. I found I was able to do the same thing that they had done at the same speed. But when I had the dream I felt like they were better than me and that I was unable to do what they had done.

Such is the American inferiority complex in soccer.

As for Perez' tremendous goal that his fellow Catholic TV announcer Ambrosino crowed about as being in the upper 90s in mph speed, given how the Jabulani World Cup 2010 ball is (June 25 entry soccer log) faster than the Replique of the 2006 World Cup, Perez' excellent shot would have been at just around 80 mph with the Replique of 2006 that I have been practicing with up till Friday. Yet Perez and Argentina showed intelligence in that they seem to have realized that the Jabulani travels faster and taken advantage of the fact.

@2010 David Virgil Hobbs

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Tuesday, November 11, 2008

Bailouts and Aid for US Companies are Not 'Free Trade'

It would be almost funny, were it not so tragic, to watch all these insolent free-trade fanatics fall all over themselves implementing all sorts of economic band-aids like 'bailouts for companies' and 'aid for companies' that contradict free trade, in attempts to save the credit/banking and automobile industries.

The bailouters and aiders dare not even mention the possibility of resorting to tariffs, because if they did, they would be admitting that they have been wrong about free trade. Instead they enthuse over US govt "bailouts" and "aid" for US companies, because they think that such terms can mask the fact that they are contradicting the free trade doctrine (and probably their free-trade agreements), and their previous free-trade fanaticism, which involved such huge levels of insolence for those who dared to disagree with them--despite the fact that their so-called free trade was filled with defects such as:

Us tariffing them less then they tariff us; obliviousness re the distortion caused when one nation hates the other more than the other hates it; a lack of concern for hidden subsidies and hidden tariffs used by competing nations; naivete re foreign nations manipulating currency values to take advantage of other nations; amnesia re the obvious distortion produced by wage levels in one nation being higher than another; the folly of failing to appreciate multiplier effects as labor spends its wages buying from their fellow citizens who in turn also spend and invest etc.

As if a situation featuring every national government "bailing-out" and "aiding" companies of their own nation, was a classical expression of the "free-trade" these idolaters of so-called free trade have historically so ferociously propounded.

How can these people simultaneously insult those who oppose their so-called free trade doctrines, and at the same time proceed to spend trillions of dollars, "bailing-out" and "aiding" certain pet companies?

"we kint admit thet we were wrong about free trade an' increase tariffs. Now we'll jest use bailouts an' aid fo' pet companies, an' pretend thet by doin' this hyar we is still bein' th' wise free traders thet we haf allwus been, as enny fool kin plainly see." (take that, Free-Trading Larry Summers Worshipping Harvard Crimson, of the Harvard that employed hundreds of teen-aged girls who never went to college instead of me, the Harvard grad Harvard man)

Sufficient tariffs (foreigners should be allowed to choose between exporting to us and setting up plant in our nation), inviting foreign producers to produce in our nation, compared to bailouts and aid are less likely to act as incentives promoting incompetence and corruption.

Another almost laughable facet of the matter is that some companies are considered 'too big' to be allowed to fail, whereas other companies are considered 'small enough to be allowed to fail'. It defies belief that persons who are above the level of moron in intelligence should think this way. Obviously, twenty companies with a billion dollars in sales each, are the equivalent of one company with twenty billion dollars in sales. So then how can one billion dollar companies be considered 'small enough' to be allowed to fail, whereas the one large company is considered to be 'too big to be allowed to fail'. This kind of favoritism, this kind of thinking is an extreme contradiction of the free-trade doctrine and the elements of the free-trade doctrine that are wise and reasonable or point in the direction of wisdom and reason.

"Uhh, duh, Dehe are twebuhnty c'panies dat each habe a billion dollars in sales. Dese twebuhnty c'panies put togedeh habe twebuhnty billion dollars in sales but dat is not ekal t' one c'pany wid twebuhnty billion dollars in sales, duuhhhh, cuz twebuhnty times one 'n one times twebuhnty are not the, ERRRR, same ding".

Then you have the problem that we are all being asked to bail out automobile companies in the Detroit Michigan area, as we were previously told we should bail out banks in the New York City area. In contradiction to this, for a long time I have been interested in the idea that the way to get the economy of Massachusetts (the state in which I reside) going, is to produce a situation where the people of Massachusetts make the cars that they use. What is there in this bailout for Detroit Michigan, thatgives us in Massachusetts even a fighting chance to produce some of the cars that we use?


I do not have hundreds of people working for me like these "free-traders" who are into government bailouts and aid for their nation's big companies do, you would be wise to take such into account when comparing my words with theirs; I am at a disadvantage. Anyway from my perspective, it appears that these free-trade & bailouts & aid worshipping creatures would be taking a step forwards if they were able to admit that what they are now advocating, bailouts and aid, is not free-trade, and so therefore now they are no longer justified in opposing the lowly and maligned art of utilizing tariffs on imports. Tariffs have a proven history of producing economic growth. Many of the most intelligent and respectable statesmen and thinkers of the past have lined up behind tariffs. Not so with national government "bail-outs" and "aid" for 'special', 'too big to be allowed to fail' pet companies.

Tariffs can be reasonable when they accurately compensate for the lower costs of production faced by foreign producers, so that the tariff covers the difference between the lower costs of production enjoyed by foreigners and the costs of production in the home nation. Tariffs can serve to entice foreign automakers to produce their automobiles in the our nation while employing our citizens.

True it is possible that unions can take advantage of the rest of the population by forcing employers to pay them exorbitant wages and benefits, the cost of which is passed on to the consumer; but the present situation in the nation is closer to the ideal situation which basically features for the entire work-force one high minimum wage, than it is to the distorted situation featuring unions taking advantage of consumers. In the present situation, there exist in the world highly competent foreign auto producers whose existence and competition provides a natural barrier against price-fixing on the part of US auto manufacturers.

True, for years third world nations suffered economically due to their inability to export; but now our nation has bled itself almost to death via trade deficits (the nation's economy is now based on impermanent foundations such as money borrowed from foreigners and money on hand due to sales of assets to foreigners) that have given the third world a fighting chance.

Now in the present due to technological developments, the third world is capable of attaining prosperity without depending on exports to generate such prosperity. Third world nations that screw themselves up by failing to attain to a prosperity that is easily attainable, have themselves to blame for failing to attain to prosperity; it is difficult to defend the idea that meddling in foreign nations's affairs to rectify their inability to attain to attainable prosperity should be a high priority for our nation.

Scriptures written for the guidance of all nations, declare that persons should do their best to provide for their families and to not betray their nation. Those who betray their nation generally speaking, are also betraying their families.

The details of our constitution may with the passage of time and changes in human society become somewhat out of date, but the general intent of the constitution as expressed in the preamble stands the test of time: the constitution states that two basic purposes of the constitution are to promote the general welfare and to "secure blessings" for the posterity, meaning the descendants of the people.

Our nation has the potential to bring all kinds of fun and joy and good spirits and material and spiritual prosperity to the rest of mankind, but we cannot do this if we are living in poverty (we cannot do this if we are led by those who desire to materially and spiritually damage mankind but that is another subject).


@2008 David Virgil Hobbs

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