Wednesday, February 19, 2014

Analysis of Performance of emailed basketball teams

This post will be updated with latest notes.

Results are shown at:
Emailed College Basketball Teams Performance 2013-14

( David Virgil's Blog: Emailed College Basketball Teams Performance 2013-2014)

1:06 AM 2/19/2014:

Since I emailed the 6 college basketball teams the poetic prayers or the vision of the cop email at the beginning of December 2013, the teams have played 103 games. During these games, they have done 124 points better than predicted (+1.2/game).

Generally the basketball teams followed the same pattern as the 'American' soccer teams I emailed during the fall of 2013 (in my terminology teams from the Boston area are Boston teams, teams outside of Boston area are 'American' teams): two of the teams started out very slowly but then improved. Similarly, I found that the 'American' soccer teams were a slow study and did not beat the spread at the beginning.

Sterling College did 25 points worse than expected in the first two games (-12.5/game); then 107 points better than expected in the next 16 games (+6.7/game).

FIU did 54 points worse than expected in the first eight games (-6.8/game); then 38 pts better than expected in the next 8 games (+4.8/game).

Not counting Sterling's first two games and FIU's first 8 games, the teams so far have done 203 points better than expected over 93 games (+2.2/game).

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