France Runs Out of Luck Against Italy in 2006 World Cup Final
I predicted before the game, Italy would win. I did not make my prediction public. I felt, as an individual, I should hide my prediction.
I thought Italy would win because after the first 30 or so minutes of its game against Germany, it thoroughly dominated Germany in terms of the sum of goals and almost-goals; Italy a few times came very close to scoring without actually scoring, against Germany.
This game it was the same story of Italian offensive potency after a delay in the first few minutes of the game; whereas France's entire offense, was a penalty kick by Zidane, just as in the semifinal vs Portugal the game prior to this one, France's entire offense was a penalty kick by Zidane. France 1 Italy 0 six minutes into game on penalty kick by Zidane.
Italy scored on the France defense twice, both times without recourse to a penalty kick undefended from 12 yds in front of the goalie. One of Italy's goals was taken back because Italy was allegedly offsides.
In the 19th minute Materazzi headed in a corner kick. In the 62nd minute Toni showed great skill in heading a line drive free kick that rocketed at the France goal as Toni sprinted towards the France goal, into the France goal. But one of the Italians was called offsides.
Thus in the final 70 minutes of regulation time, the Italians outscored the French 2-0 in terms of goals plus almost-goals. This extrapolates to 2.6 to 0 over 90 minutes which rounds off to 3-0. In the Germany vs Italy semifinals game, this extrapolation was even more tilted in Italy's favor.
Italy being basically the better team one would expect it to win the shootout, since being a better team has to do to a certain extent with qualities of the type that produce players who do well in shootouts.
France lucked out to be able to tie Italy 1-1 after overtime, because Italy was called offsides on the free kick on which it scored, and because Materazzi was alleged to have fouled Malouda in the penalty box allowing France to score on the penalty kick.
However sooner or later the luck swings in the opposite direction, i.e., Italy getting lucky in the penalty shootout.
@2006 David Virgil Hobbs
www.angelfire.com/ma/vincemoon
http://davidvirgil.blogspot.com
I thought Italy would win because after the first 30 or so minutes of its game against Germany, it thoroughly dominated Germany in terms of the sum of goals and almost-goals; Italy a few times came very close to scoring without actually scoring, against Germany.
This game it was the same story of Italian offensive potency after a delay in the first few minutes of the game; whereas France's entire offense, was a penalty kick by Zidane, just as in the semifinal vs Portugal the game prior to this one, France's entire offense was a penalty kick by Zidane. France 1 Italy 0 six minutes into game on penalty kick by Zidane.
Italy scored on the France defense twice, both times without recourse to a penalty kick undefended from 12 yds in front of the goalie. One of Italy's goals was taken back because Italy was allegedly offsides.
In the 19th minute Materazzi headed in a corner kick. In the 62nd minute Toni showed great skill in heading a line drive free kick that rocketed at the France goal as Toni sprinted towards the France goal, into the France goal. But one of the Italians was called offsides.
Thus in the final 70 minutes of regulation time, the Italians outscored the French 2-0 in terms of goals plus almost-goals. This extrapolates to 2.6 to 0 over 90 minutes which rounds off to 3-0. In the Germany vs Italy semifinals game, this extrapolation was even more tilted in Italy's favor.
Italy being basically the better team one would expect it to win the shootout, since being a better team has to do to a certain extent with qualities of the type that produce players who do well in shootouts.
France lucked out to be able to tie Italy 1-1 after overtime, because Italy was called offsides on the free kick on which it scored, and because Materazzi was alleged to have fouled Malouda in the penalty box allowing France to score on the penalty kick.
However sooner or later the luck swings in the opposite direction, i.e., Italy getting lucky in the penalty shootout.
@2006 David Virgil Hobbs
www.angelfire.com/ma/vincemoon
http://davidvirgil.blogspot.com
posted by David Virgil at 6:10 PM
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home