Sunday, July 20, 2014

Israel Hamas Gaza 2014 War Notes

For my condensed version of Operation Protective Edge - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia see David Virgil's Blog: Israel Gaza attack- Concise Version of Wikipedia article. Updates re this subject will be added to this post.

When this all started my first instinct, was that it looked like Israel was falling into a trap. The Israeli casualties from the rockets were very few. Israel was the party provoked into attacking. The casualties when Israel first entered Gaza with ground troops were low. Hamas knew the targets the Israeli ground attack would aim for, but Israel when invading Gaza did not know the position of the Hamas troops. Israel seemed overconfident. Such overconfidence arises from failing to understand, that the energetic zealous unpaid efforts of volunteers have monetary value. For example, side A may have a billion dollars to spend on its war with side B,  but such could be neutralized if 25,000 persons volunteer 2000 hours each for side B, with each hour valued as being worth $20 of labor. Given the courage zeal and energy of motivated volunteers their efforts could be estimated to be worth more than $20 per hour.


July 22 Notes

1. I have created a page containing  Detailed notes re Israel-Gaza 2014 Casualties.

2. Watching Israel's Tijuana Brass invade Gaza, I thought maybe I could display military prowess without taking sides by way of a competent analysis.

IMHO as of now

The history of the Gaza  invasion July 17-21 shows Israel taking avoidable casualties due to anti-tank RPG hits on jeeps, APCs, and troops. Although Israel-types excel in softwares such as the Iron Dome software, Israel has neglected battlefield software capabilities of the simple type that would deal with things like RPG anti-tank rockets.  These simple software capabilities are needed in order to help the troops involved in battles the Israeli General described as "difficult and complex".

What is needed but is apparently missing:

Software that calculates the probability of taking a hit from weapons such as the RPG-7, at various points in the battlefield, and then illustrates such using color codes on maps. Such software would take into account: the probability of a given weapon being in a given location; the number of weapons that have a given spot on the battlefield in range; the distance of a given spot on the battlefield relative to various weapons on the battlefield; the probability of the given weapon scoring a hit on a target at the given spot, something which is effected by the spot's distance from the weapon; environmental conditions such as wind that increase or decrease hit-probabilities.

All such information combined could result in a map which shows which areas of the battlefield pose what level of danger.

As for the Gazans, the challenge for them is to obfuscate such computer programs, so that such programs do not advantage the Israelis.

See:

RPG-7 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

TRADOC Bulletin 1: Range and Lethality of U.S. and Soviet Anti-Armor Weapons

3. Watching both sides treat the war like a glorious sporting event, I got to thinking about the psychology of it. For every military fatality one of the sides suffers, 100 heroes are created who were not killed but wounded or almost wounded. These heroes are admired by their communities, they enjoy being admired, the combination invigorates the community emotionally. The 100 heroes created for each fatality, psychologically/emotionally outweigh the fatality who appears to be someone who has sleepily passed into a happy domain wherein he is oblivious to all the pain (unintentional rhyme).

Consequently what is required if one is to promote peace, is some mechanism whereby the communities are emotionally fed by something other than war-heroes. Somehow managing to remove admiration of heroism from society is an unrealistically difficult to achieve alternative, an alternative that could damage society more than it helps.

Stats for today:
449 Words
Sentences 19
Paragraphs 15
Avg. Sentence (words) 24
Keyword Density
6 (3%)battlefield
5 (2%)software
4 (2%)israel
4 (2%)rpg
4 (2%)weapons
4 (2%)heroes
3 (1%)created
3 (1%)gaza
3 (1%)sides
3 (1%)anti


July 20 Notes

July 18, The Jerusalem Post triumphantly announced that Israeli hackers had brought down the official Hamas Felesteen.ps website on July 17th. July 20th early in the morning however, the Felesteen.ps website was up and running and reporting the destruction of 10 Israeli tanks/APCs since 11:00 PM EST July 19.

JPost:

"Around the same time that IDF ground troops entered Gaza Thursday night, Israeli hackers took down a number of prominent Hamas and Islamic Jihad sites. The sites either crashed or showed error messages. The sites included Hamas' official website, Qudstv.ps, along with Felesteen.ps and Gaza Alan".

-- Israel hacks series of Hamas websites as soldiers enter Gaza | JPost | Israel News (July 18)

Felesteen.ps (my revision of machine-translation from Arabic, I was surprised at how well Arabic translates compared to Russian):

"Al-Qassam Brigades", the military wing of the Islamic Resistance Movement "Hamas", has declared that since Sunday morning (11:00 PM Saturday 7/19/2014 EST)  its fighters have blown up ten tanks and armored personnel carriers and the hideouts of Israeli soldiers east of Gaza City and Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip, during the process of confronting the occupation forces.

In several communications, military fighters from battalions east of Khan Younis, confirmed that they blew up six "Merkava" tanks () (Israel has 3900 tanks), using improvised explosive devices fitted with large "RRBI Ji" type shells. They added that East of Gaza City, four other tanks were blown up, and the hideouts of Israeli soldier were targetted with Babot explosive devices and Tandom type rockets.

Continuing Palestinian resistance to the progress of the occupation forces in these regions, can be expected to produce significant losses for the occupation forces and stop their progress. The Qassam Brigades website reported that according to its sources, the Commander of the Golani Brigade and three soldiers were being treated in a hospital in Tel Schumer Israel, 18 others in the Perzelaa Hospital, and 19 in the Syroka Military Hospital.

This morning the brigades confirmed  that  a Motorized Israeli infantry unit East of Gaza City, composed of 14 soldiers, attempted a limited penetration.

As of 0530 GMT, 8:30 AM Sunday, The Israeli Occupation's air land and sea aggression has since July 8 caused the death of 371 Palestinian civilians and injured 2800, according to the Palestinian Ministry of Health.

On Thursday evening, July 17,  The occupation forces announced that they would commence military aggression against the Gaza Strip Wilderness in order to strike at tunnels used by the Palestinian resistance.

-- "Al-Qassam Brigades" erupted 10 Israeli tanks | PalestineOnline (Felsteen.ps, July 20)

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